KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Stephen Lynch, ≥2% 99%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
12.206,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
27. Aug. 26, 19:24 UTC1. Sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Regeln
If the margin of victory for Stephen Lynch in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Stephen Lynch minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Stephen Lynch if Stephen Lynch wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Stephen Lynch loses.
- If Stephen Lynch wins, the margin will be positive; if Stephen Lynch loses, the margin will be negative; if Stephen Lynch ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Stephen Lynch runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)?
- Kalshi bewertet Stephen Lynch, ≥2% mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch) entschieden?
- MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch) soll am 1. September 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the margin of victory for Stephen Lynch in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.