KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Ed Gallrein, 5-10% (95%)
Entschieden: 09.06.2026, 00:56
Gewinnausgang
Ed Gallrein, 5-10%
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
—
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitEd Gallrein, 10-15% 1%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
63,8 €
Liquidität
17.295 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.3% / 0.9%
Spread
200.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Tagen
Veraltet1. Apr. 26, 14:0019. Mai 27, 14:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Thomas Massie, 5-10%0%
Thomas Massie, 10-15%0%
Ed Gallrein, 10-15%1%
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%0%
Ed Gallrein, 15-20%0%
1%
95%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Geschlossen
-0.1%99%
1%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
56 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen166.566,2 €
24h-Volumen30,3 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Gallrein minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?
138,5 €Barry Moore, ≥15%: 21%KALSHI
KALSHIGeorgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?
65,1 €Mike Collins, 0-5%: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIGeorgia Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?
52,2 €Burt Jones, 0-3%: 31%KALSHI
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
48 €Lindsey Graham, 25-30%: 99%KALSHI
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)
36 €Pamela Evette, ≥25%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIMargin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
20,7 €Graham Platner, ≥50%: 100%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News
Trump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto News
U.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto News
Trump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto News
Congress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News
Congress wants to ban lawmakers from crypto prediction marketsCrypto NewsRegeln
If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Gallrein minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.