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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?
Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

8.0% (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl1J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Barry Moore, ≥15%
Barry Moore, ≥15% 22%-8.0%
Führend unter 12 Optionen
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

221,2 €

Liquidität

250,7 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten

8. Juni 26, 17:0016. Juni 27, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Barry Moore, ≥15%22%

Regeln

If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Verwandte Märkte

Georgia Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?

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Rick Jackson, 9-12%: 3%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

51,2 €
Lindsey Graham, 25-30%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

39,2 €
Mike Collins, ≥25%: 22%KalshiKALSHI
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

25,8 €
Graham Platner, ≥50%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

21,3 €
Karen Bass, 12-16%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
California governor primary margin of victory?

California governor primary margin of victory?

11,5 €
Xavier Becerra, 2-4%: 95%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,474.07+0.07%EthereumETH$1,664.35-0.50%SolanaSOL$66.64-0.03%DogecoinDOGE$0.0874+1.18%XRPXRP$1.13-0.39%BNBBNB$602.58-0.06%

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Regeln

If the margin of victory for Barry Moore in the 2026 Alabama Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Barry Moore minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Barry Moore minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Barry Moore if Barry Moore wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Barry Moore loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Barry Moore wins, or the electoral votes received by Barry Moore minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Barry Moore does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.