KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Margaret Qualley 37%+8.0ptFührend unter 16 Optionen
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
29,7 €
Liquidität
7273,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
14. Feb. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 31, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as Q
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny
KalshiNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Bond girl?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:007.com
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Offene Märkte
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+42.0pt76%
- 940 - 950m-42.0pt19.2%
- 960 - 970m+0.2pt1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 296.756,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 88.579,8 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt61%
- Jack Barton-2.0pt19%
- Callum Turner-11.0pt16%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+13.1pt32%
- No Bond chosen-7.6pt16%
- Jack Barton+0.9pt14%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt28.4%
- Barrett Pfeiffer+2.0pt18.4%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.8%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 70-80M+8.7pt63.6%
- 80-90M-2.0pt34.3%
- 60-70M-4.0pt1%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey52%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.096,4 €
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
- Post Malone: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl?
- Kalshi bewertet Margaret Qualley mit 37% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl entschieden?
- Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.