KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ralph Fiennes 38%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
23 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
278,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
8. Jan. 26, 23:00 UTC1. Jan. 31, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as Q
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny
KalshiNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond is Callum Turner or Aaron Taylor-Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWho will direct the next James Bond Film?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:007.com
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform M in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as M in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in M, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 89.572,8 €
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Crew Girl: Season 142.6%
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+12.0pt31.1%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams12.3%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.071,8 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+1.0pt24.8%
- Dee Valladares+4.0pt16.5%
- Barrett Pfeiffer13.8%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,1 Mio. €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-1.0pt98%
- Above 50-1.0pt96%
- Above 55-5.0pt83%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 306.344,3 €
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+35.0pt78%
- 70-80M-35.3pt21%
- 90M+-1.3pt1%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+4.0pt49%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt25%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt12%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond actor?
- Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M?
- Kalshi bewertet Ralph Fiennes mit 38% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M entschieden?
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.