KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
100 to 499 61.5%Führend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
6714,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.8 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
9. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
PolymarketWho will Trump pardon in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump pardon anyone by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2026?
PredictItWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItRegeln
If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 25 and 49 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 50 and 99 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 100 and 499 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 500 and 999 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to above 999 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many people will Trump pardon in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet 100 to 499 mit 62% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How many people will Trump pardon in 2026? entschieden?
- How many people will Trump pardon in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How many people will Trump pardon in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 25 and 49 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.