KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least 1.25 million · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
At least 1.25 million 95.5%Führend unter 9 Optionen
At least 1.25 million 95.5%Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
388,1 €
Open Interest
2586 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 1.25 millionSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
24. Sept. 26, 21:00 UTC4. Nov. 26, 14:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 1.25 million
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsPennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
KalshiRegeln
If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.3 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:University of Florida Election Lab
- The value is the headline "Mail ballots requested" figure at the top of the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. If the page is unavailable at that time, the request_all value for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) as of that time is used. Updates posted after that time are not counted.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 1.25 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.25 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.2 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.3 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.3 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.35 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.35 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.4 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.7 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.7 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.45 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.45 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.6 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.6 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.5 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
