KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
No other person 55%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
41 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3036,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
6.1 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
1. Apr. 25, 14:00 UTC20. Jan. 29, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
KalshiWho will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
KalshiWill Tulsi Gabbard be Secretary of State before January 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio serve as Secretary of State until Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Jared Kushner serve as Secretary of State by November 7, 2028?
Manifold MarketsMichigan Secretary of State Election Winner
PolymarketRegeln
If Secretary of State is the named outcome before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Acting and Interim positions don't count.
- If the next new Secretary of State before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State??
- Kalshi bewertet No other person mit 55% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? entschieden?
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Secretary of State is the named outcome before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.