KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitKeith Sonderling 79%Führend unter 16 Optionen
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
9,1 €
Liquidität
26.073,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 7.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
9. Juni 26, 16:4520. Jan. 29, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Riley Moore2%
Plattformen vergleichen· Keith Sonderling
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GeminiBeste insgesamt96% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 94% | 0pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 94% | 0pt | 9,1 € | 26.073,4 € | vor 16 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste61% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | +6pt | 70.967 € | 0 € | vor 26 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Gemini
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
2J
83.5%
5.8%
1.3%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
47 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen23.648,6 €
24h-Volumen0 €
GEMINIAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?
15.6 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Keith Sonderling (100%)
+49.5pt100%
-1.4pt0%
-8.2pt0%
+32 weitere Ergebnisse
30 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen111.737,2 €
24h-Volumen70.967 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Keith Sonderling before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Patrick Pizzella before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Bryan Slater before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Jonathan Berry before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$102. Juli23T Daten27. Juli
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If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Keith Sonderling before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Patrick Pizzella before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Bryan Slater before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Jonathan Berry before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.