GeminiEingeschränkte verifizierte DatenAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitKeith Sonderling 83.5%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
47 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
93.0% / 94.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
21. Apr. 26, 22:1820. Jan. 29, 10:00
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Keith Sonderling94%
Plattformen vergleichen· Keith Sonderling
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GeminiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 94% | 0pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 17 Minuten | |
 Kalshi96% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 94% | 0pt | 9,1 € | 26.072,4 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 PolymarketAktivste61% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 100% | +6pt | 70.964,4 € | 0 € | vor 26 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
2J
79%
3.4%
3.4%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
46 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen70.770,4 €
24h-Volumen9,1 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?
15.6 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Keith Sonderling (100%)
+49.5pt100%
-1.4pt0%
-8.2pt0%
+32 weitere Ergebnisse
30 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen111.733 €
24h-Volumen70.964,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor before Jan 20, 2029?
- If Trump's next Secretary of Labor is Keith Sonderling before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and interim holders of the office are not included.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to the position, or appointed via a recess appointment, are included even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/62C708X97gg8ha2KlDfFdF/1221858c06ed54f87774931d12d833ea/Position_Nomination_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor before Jan 20, 2029?
- If Trump's next Secretary of Labor is Keith Sonderling before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and interim holders of the office are not included.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to the position, or appointed via a recess appointment, are included even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/62C708X97gg8ha2KlDfFdF/1221858c06ed54f87774931d12d833ea/Position_Nomination_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).