How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress in 2026?
4.0 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikWahl1Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
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Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
At least 1 36%Führend unter 10 Optionen
At least 1 36%Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4,4 €
Open Interest
8460,7 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 1Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
14. Juli 26, 19:30 UTC3. Dez. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
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Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
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Quelle: Kalshi
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- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 1
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind cont…
Abwicklung über:Federal Election CommissionUnited States House of RepresentativesUnited States SenateNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCElon Musk’s X accountofficial campaign websites of candidatesBallotpediaThe InformationNBC
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 1
- If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind cont…
- At least 3
- If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 3, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind cont…
- At least 15
- If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 15, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind contri…
- At least 20
- If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 20, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind contri…
- At least 10
- If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 10, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind contri…
- At least 25
- If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 25, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind contri…
- At least 50
- If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 50, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind contri…
- At least 5
- If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind contri…
- At least 100
- If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 100, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind contri…
- At least 75
- If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 75, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jun 4, 2025) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind contri…
