KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Democrat (98%)
Entschieden: 31.05.2026, 23:20
Gewinnausgang
Democrat
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
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Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitCeasefire 1%-30.0%Führend unter 16 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
894,7 €
Liquidität
885,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Tagen
Veraltet29. Mai 26, 19:0015. Juni 26, 14:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Ceasefire1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
China / Chinese1%
Nuclear1%
Democrat98%
Terrorist / Terrorism1%
Israel / Israeli99%
ICE / Border99%
National Security1%
Election99%
Iran / Iranian99%
Healthcare1%
Trump99%
Fraud1%
Event does not qualify1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
98%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Verwandte Märkte
What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press?
14,2 €Event does not qualify: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
6,3 Mio. €December 31: 83%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
4,1 Mio. €July 31: 89%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1,2 Mio. €Ja: 1%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30? [Polymarket]
31.372,1 €Ja: 46%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4577,8 €Ja: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto News
Pentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to China’s military-linked list Crypto News
No-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.News
Major cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk
Bitcoin recedes to $63,000 as Iran-Israel trade strikes and Korean stocks crashCoindesk
Year-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Meet the Press will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Meet the Press will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.