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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Minnesota Governor margin of victory
Minnesota Governor margin of victory

Minnesota Governor margin of victory

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahl1J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democrats, 11+ pts
Democrats, 11+ pts 64%+1.0%
Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

2,1 €

Liquidität

9,8 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

61.0% / 66.0%

Spread

8.2%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

29. Apr. 26, 14:003. Nov. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Democrats, 11+ pts64%

Regeln

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Minnesota by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.

Verwandte Märkte

Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

23,4 €
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 58%KalshiKALSHI
Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

4,8 €
Republicans, 17+ pts: 16%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Governor margin of victory

Texas Governor margin of victory

3,7 €
Republicans, 3+ pts: 82%KalshiKALSHI
Texas's 15th District margin of victory

Texas's 15th District margin of victory

2,8 €
Democrats, 2+ pts: 97%KalshiKALSHI
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

2,7 €
Democrats, 7+ pts: 49%KalshiKALSHI
Ohio's 7th District margin of victory

Ohio's 7th District margin of victory

2,6 €
Republicans, 1+ pts: 60%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Minnesota by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.