KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democrats, 8+ pts 61%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
21,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
9.2 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
14. Sept. 26, 19:00 UTC3. Nov. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Regeln
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Michigan by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Michigan Board of State Canvassers
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory · Benson 9-12% 22%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Michigan Governor margin of victory?
- Kalshi bewertet Democrats, 8+ pts mit 61% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird Michigan Governor margin of victory entschieden?
- Michigan Governor margin of victory soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Michigan Governor margin of victory abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Michigan by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Michigan Governor margin of victory außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.