KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDemocrats, 4+ pts 81%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1404,6 €
Liquidität
1409 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
77.0% / 82.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
5. Mai 26, 20:203. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democrats, 10+ pts77%
Volumentrend
$1.6k5. Juli4T Daten29. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Texas Senate margin of victory
3270,8 €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIIdaho Senate margin of victory
3166,5 €Republicans, 31+ pts: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIGeorgia Senate margin of victory
1174,6 €Democrats, 10+ pts: 33%KALSHI
KALSHIKansas Senate margin of victory
1159,7 €Republicans, 9+ pts: 40%KALSHI
KALSHINew Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
877,9 €Republicans, 6+ pts: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIColorado's 4th District margin of victory
705,8 €Democrats, 7+ pts: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Michigan's 3rd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.