KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Little, 18+ pts 86%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
205 €
Liquidität
920,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
29. Apr. 26, 14:00 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Idaho by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Idaho Governor margin of victory?
- Kalshi bewertet Little, 18+ pts mit 86% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird Idaho Governor margin of victory entschieden?
- Idaho Governor margin of victory soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Idaho Governor margin of victory abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Idaho by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.