KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democrats, 2+ pts 66%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1183,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
5. Mai 26, 20:20 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Arizona's 1st District margin of victory?
- Kalshi bewertet Democrats, 2+ pts mit 66% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Arizona's 1st District margin of victory entschieden?
- Arizona's 1st District margin of victory soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Arizona's 1st District margin of victory abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.