KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2030 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2030 34.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2030 34.5%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
10.988,7 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 1, 2030Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
11. Aug. 26, 01:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2030
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
PolymarketZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani release another song?
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani make an endorsement in any non New York race before Election Day?
Manifold MarketsZohran Mamdani SNL Host before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani officially endorse or campaign for Abdul El Sayed for senate?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Zohran MamdaniThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersOffice of the Mayor of New York CityCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An acknowledgment that they will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of a constitutionally or legally mandated term limit does not satisfy the Payout Criterion. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.