KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Exactly 2 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
Exactly 2 31%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Exactly 2 31%Marktqualitat
59 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
789,9 €
Open Interest
25.308,4 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Exactly 2Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
16. Sept. 25, 21:00 UTC31. Dez. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Exactly 2
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiHow many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiHow many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiWill the MAGA ‘Moderates’ all lose reelection?
Manifold MarketsHow many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiWhich CA governors will build more housing in 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If exactly 2 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsCNNNBCABCCBSFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoBallotpediaofficial state or local election division websitesReutersThe Cook Political ReportSabato's Crystal Ball
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Exactly 2
- If exactly 2 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 1
- If exactly 1 governor lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3
- If exactly 3 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5 or more
- If at least 5 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 4
- If exactly 4 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 0
- If exactly 0 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
