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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?
How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

YearlyPolitikUS PoliticsWahl6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Exactly 0
Exactly 0 15%
Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

12,6 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

8.0% / 15.0%

Spread

87.5%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

16. Sept. 25, 21:0031. Dez. 26, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Exactly 015%

Regeln

If exactly 0 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win.
  • This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls.
  • Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses.
  • If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts.
  • Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,148.93+1.52%EthereumETH$1,657.73+0.17%SolanaSOL$65.63+0.81%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+0.44%HyperliquidHYPE$57.52+0.17%XRPXRP$1.12-1.10%

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Regeln

If exactly 0 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win.
  • This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls.
  • Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses.
  • If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts.
  • Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group.