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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in May 2026?
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in May 2026?

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in May 2026?

Politik
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: 1 (99%)

Entschieden: 01.06.2026, 14:49

Gewinnausgang

1

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

—

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1
1 99%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

56 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

531,2 €

Liquidität

6053,5 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

- / 100.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 12 Tagen

Veraltet
1. Mai 26, 14:001. Juni 26, 3:59

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

21%
199%
01%
41%
31%
0%25%50%75%100%30. Mai31. Mai1. Juni
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
1
1
99%
0
0
1%
2
2
1%
4
4
1%
3
3
1%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House.
  • A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if May 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count.
  • If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of May 2026, that will count as a visit.
  • If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House.
  • A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if May 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count.
  • If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of May 2026, that will count as a visit.
  • If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in May 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.