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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026?
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026?

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026?

PolitikOne-OffUS Politics17T
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1
1 4%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

100,5 €

Liquidität

1583,8 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

3.0% / 4.0%

Spread

33.3%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

1. Juni 26, 14:001. Juli 26, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

14%

Regeln

If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House.
  • A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jun 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count.
  • If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jun 2026, that will count as a visit.
  • If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Regeln

If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House.
  • A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jun 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count.
  • If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jun 2026, that will count as a visit.
  • If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.