KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2029 83.5%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2029 83.5%Marktqualitat
54 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
373,9 €
Open Interest
142.197,5 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
28. Sept. 26, 18:06 UTC1. Okt. 27, 03:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Before Oct 1, 2026Verloren
Before Sep 1, 2026Verloren
Before Nov 1, 2026Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2029
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel out by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsKash Patel departure announced?
KalshiWill Kash Patel visit Russia?
KalshiWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Kash PatelThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersFederal Bureau of InvestigationCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Kash Patel must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Kash Patel out by...? · December 31 20%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Kash Patel out by...? · September 30 50%
