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Daten vom 14.11.2026, 05:27 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Election / Midterm · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Election / Midterm 83.5%Führend unter 17 Optionen
Election / Midterm 83.5%Marktqualitat
51 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5251,3 €
Open Interest
5923,8 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Election / MidtermSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
13. Nov. 26, 22:15 UTC28. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Election / Midterm
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will John Fetterman say during Fox News: Saturday in America?
KalshiWill Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Fox News settle in their defamation lawsuit with Smartmatic before going to trial?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen the Fox News Empire when Rupert Murdoch dies?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If Mike Johnson says Election / Midterm as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Mike Johnson speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Election / Midterm
- If Mike Johnson says Election / Midterm as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrat
- If Mike Johnson says Democrat as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jeffries
- If Mike Johnson says Jeffries as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Socialism / Socialist
- If Mike Johnson says Socialism / Socialist as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Shutdown / Shut Down
- If Mike Johnson says Shutdown / Shut Down as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tax Cut / Cut Tax
- If Mike Johnson says Tax Cut / Cut Tax as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Border
- If Mike Johnson says Border as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If Mike Johnson says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If Mike Johnson says Iran / Iranian as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (3+ times)
- If Mike Johnson says Trump (3+ times) as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Poll / Pollster
- If Mike Johnson says Poll / Pollster as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Mike Johnson says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If Mike Johnson says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- China / Chinese
- If Mike Johnson says China / Chinese as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If Mike Johnson says Healthcare as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Inflation
- If Mike Johnson says Inflation as part of Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
