Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Other 50.8%Führend unter 19 Optionen
Prognostiker
45
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet21. Feb. 24, 22:29 UTC3. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.3%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Speaker Mike Johnson send the House members home early before midterms?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketMike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiWill the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurRegeln
Mike Johnson is the current Republican Speaker of the House and the #1 Republican in the US House of Representatives.
- If the Republicans lost their majority in the House, Johnson would likely become become the Republican Minority Leader, which would then be the position of the #1 Republican under a Democratic Party House.
- This market resolves to the name of the next Republican after Mike Johnson to assume the position of either Speaker of the House or Minority Leader.
- In the case of a leadership crisis like the one resulting from Speaker McCarthy's removal as speaker, the person appointed to Speaker pro tempore (if anyone) does not count.
- Only a permanent Republican Speaker or permanent Republican Minority Leader resolves this market.
- If you have suggestions for other candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Other mit 51% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson? entschieden?
- Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson? soll am 3. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Mike Johnson is the current Republican Speaker of the House and the #1 Republican in the US House of Representatives.