Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Giorgia Meloni 43.6%Führend unter 11 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
38 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
6504,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
11. Aug. 26, 00:32 UTC22. Dez. 28, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Regeln
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election??
- Kalshi bewertet Giorgia Meloni mit 44% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? entschieden?
- Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? soll am 22. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.