KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Likud 98%Führend unter 22 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1053,4 €
Liquidität
3594,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
28. Aug. 26, 22:00 UTC27. Okt. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu run for the Israeli Knesset next election?
Manifold MarketsWill former Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennet be a member of the 26th knesset?
Manifold MarketsArab Party alliances in the next Knesset elections?
Manifold MarketsVote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If the named outcome has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Central Elections Committee
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which lists will win a Knesset seat??
- Kalshi bewertet Likud mit 98% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which lists will win a Knesset seat? entschieden?
- Which lists will win a Knesset seat? soll am 27. Oktober 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which lists will win a Knesset seat? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.