KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% 15%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% 15%Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2643,3 €
Open Interest
2911 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
11. Nov. 26, 22:30 UTC31. Dez. 29, 21:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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PolymarketRegeln
If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX "between" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.