KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Above 225 (99%)
Entschieden: 01.07.2026, 15:31
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Above 225
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
21%
ÜberraschungAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAbove 225 99%+82.0ptFührend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat
47 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
23.298,6 €
Liquidität
884,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Tagen
Veraltet25. Juni 26, 17:007. Juli 26, 13:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Above 2506%
Above 20080%
Above 22599%
Above 17584%
Above 2599%
99%
99%
10%
99%
97%
98%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Above 225
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 56,2 € | 71.468,8 € | vor 22 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese SeiteAktivste | Niedrig | 99% | — | 23.298,6 € | 884,5 € | vor 26 Tagen |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 22?
0.3 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
100+ (100%)
+0.3pt100%
-0.1pt0%
-0.4pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen74.993,6 €
24h-Volumen56,2 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 70 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
36.112,1 €Above 50: 22%KALSHI
KALSHITraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
5658,4 €Above 50: 26%KALSHI
KALSHI
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,3 Mio. €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
764.335,7 €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
567.837 €August 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will the candidates say during the Michigan Democratic Senate debate?
189.216,3 €Iran: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 70 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.