PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: 100+ (100%)
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit100+ 100%+0.3ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
56,2 €
Liquidität
71.441,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+1.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Tagen
Veraltet21. Juni 26, 18:1028. Juni 26, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
25-491%
50-740%
100+100%
75-990%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· 100+
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 100% | — | 56,2 € | 71.441,4 € | vor 22 Tagen | |
 KalshiAktivste82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 99% | — | 23.289,7 € | 884,2 € | vor 25 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28)
82.0 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Above 225 (99%)
+82.0pt99%
+62.0pt99%
+97.0pt99%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
47 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen190.669,1 €
24h-Volumen23.289,7 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 22, 2026, through June 28, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period.
- If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$642. Juli4T Daten5. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
875.170,7 €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
513.765 €August 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
306.955,5 €Gadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
151.023,5 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 7%KALSHI
KALSHITraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
40.823,9 €Above 50: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
US-Iran nuclear deal?
15.479,6 €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 22, 2026, through June 28, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period.
- If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.