KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: At least 3%
Entschieden: 09.10.2026, 05:10
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
At least 3%
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
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Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 09.10.2026, 05:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
At least 3%96%
At least 5%93%
At least 12%1%
At least 9%1%
At least 20%5%
At least 25%0%
At least 15%1%
At least 7%1%
At least 12%Verloren
At least 15%Verloren
At least 9%Verloren
At least 7%Verloren
At least 3%Gewonnen
At least 5%Verloren
At least 20%Verloren
At least 25%Verloren
Regeln
Archivierte Regeln auf Ereignisebene. Die genauen Bedingungen für jedes Ergebnis sind nicht mehr verfügbar.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Reform UK in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
