KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
74° or below 56.2%Führend unter 6 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
74° or below 56.2%Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2997,7 €
Open Interest
2461,1 €
Mittleres Open InterestSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 14:00 UTC2. Okt. 26, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 5m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on October 1?
PolymarketLowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on October 2?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 79 F on September 30, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 75 F on September 30, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRegeln
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 74° or below
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 75° to 76°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 75-76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 77° to 78°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 77-78° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 79° to 80°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 79-80° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 81° to 82°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 81-82° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 83° or above
- If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is greater than 82° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.