Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
99° to 100° 35%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
88 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
12.480,1 €
Liquidität
10.844,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
35.0% / 36.0%
Spread
2.9%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
3. Juli 26, 14:005. Juli 26, 5:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
99° to 100°35%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in Austin on July 5?
23Std
36%
33%
17%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen7477,8 €
24h-Volumen7505,6 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 95°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 95-96°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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Where will the maximum temperature be above 100 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
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Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 4, 2026?
36.768,8 €98° to 99°: 12%KALSHI
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Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
28.179,9 €30°C: 41%POLYMARKET
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 5?
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Highest temperature in Wellington on July 5?
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If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 95°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 95-96°, then the market resolves to Yes.