Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
75° or above 22%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
89 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
51.443,1 €
Liquidität
32.936,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
22.0% / 23.0%
Spread
4.5%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
3. Juli 26, 14:005. Juli 26, 7:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
75° or above22%
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 3, 2026?
341.297,8 €75° or above: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 3, 2026?
50.940,4 €70° to 71°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will the maximum temperature be above 100 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
38.786,8 €Phoenix: 95%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
154.817,9 €32°C: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 4?
122.312,7 €33°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 4?
91.794,2 €30°C: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 67°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 67-68°, then the market resolves to Yes.