Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Phoenix 95%-3.0%Führend unter 20 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
38.033,1 €
Liquidität
58.427,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
83.0% / 93.0%
Spread
12.1%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
25. Juni 26, 19:225. Juli 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Phoenix95%
Verwandte Märkte
Where will the maximum temperature be above 75 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
14.664,9 €Los Angeles: 41%
KALSHI
KALSHIWhere will the maximum temperature be above 85 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
4802,7 €Atlanta: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 3, 2026?
341.391,6 €75° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
154.382,9 €32°C: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 4?
120.602,3 €33°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 4?
94.575,8 €30°C: 93%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 100°F according to the Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 100°F according to the Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 100°F according to the Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 100°F according to the Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.