Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
97° or below 90%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
33.799,4 €
Liquidität
25.243,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
90.0% / 91.0%
Spread
1.1%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
3. Juli 26, 14:005. Juli 26, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
97° or below90%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 4?
0.1%1Std
+3.0%37%
-11.0%31%
+8.5%19%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen39.952,7 €
24h-Volumen27.393 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 98°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 98-99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 4, 2026?
64.984,8 €75° or above: 22%KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will the maximum temperature be above 100 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
49.923,1 €Phoenix: 97%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 4, 2026?
30.773,2 €87° to 88°: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
182.748,6 €32°C: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 4?
125.288,9 €33°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 4?
104.240 €33°C: 99%POLYMARKET
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 98°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 98-99°, then the market resolves to Yes.