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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Nvidia H200 chips delivered to China before 2027?
Nvidia H200 chips delivered to China before 2027?

Nvidia H200 chips delivered to China before 2027?

15.0% (24h)RegulierungTechnikOne-OffChina6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 33%-15.0%
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

7,3 €

Liquidität

34,6 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

30.0% / 49.0%

Spread

63.3%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

19. Mai 26, 1:001. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes33%

Regeln

If Nvidia H200 chips being delivered to mainland China is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves to Yes if any Source Agency confirms that one or more Nvidia H200 chips have been physically delivered to, received in, or imported into mainland China after Issuance and before Jan. 1, 2027.
  • For this market, “mainland China” means the People’s Republic of China excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.
  • Delivery to Hong Kong, Macau, or Taiwan does not qualify unless a Source Agency confirms that the Nvidia H200 chips were subsequently delivered to, received in, or imported into mainland China.
  • Regulatory approval, export licenses, purchase orders, contracts, reservations, customer allocations, payment, revenue-recognition statements, manufacturing, packaging, shipment preparation, or statements of intent do not qualify unless a Source Agency confirms physical delivery, receipt, or import into mainland China.
  • References to Nvidia “H200,” “H200 AI chips,” “H200 GPUs,” “H200 processors,” “H200 accelerators,” or “H200 AI accelerators” qualify, provided the Source Agency is referring to Nvidia H200 chips.

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Regeln

If Nvidia H200 chips being delivered to mainland China is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves to Yes if any Source Agency confirms that one or more Nvidia H200 chips have been physically delivered to, received in, or imported into mainland China after Issuance and before Jan. 1, 2027.
  • For this market, “mainland China” means the People’s Republic of China excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.
  • Delivery to Hong Kong, Macau, or Taiwan does not qualify unless a Source Agency confirms that the Nvidia H200 chips were subsequently delivered to, received in, or imported into mainland China.
  • Regulatory approval, export licenses, purchase orders, contracts, reservations, customer allocations, payment, revenue-recognition statements, manufacturing, packaging, shipment preparation, or statements of intent do not qualify unless a Source Agency confirms physical delivery, receipt, or import into mainland China.
  • References to Nvidia “H200,” “H200 AI chips,” “H200 GPUs,” “H200 processors,” “H200 accelerators,” or “H200 AI accelerators” qualify, provided the Source Agency is referring to Nvidia H200 chips.