KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least $1 billion · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
At least $1 billion 97.8%Führend unter 9 Optionen
At least $1 billion 97.8%Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
17.113,2 €
Open Interest
6293,2 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
At least $1 billionSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 41 Minuten
21. Feb. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Apr. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least $1 billion
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiHow much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
KalshiWhat will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?
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KalshiWhat will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2031?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If government spending increases by at least $50 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:FRED
- Each quarter during Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 is compared against the Q4 2025 baseline.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least $1 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $1 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $50 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $50 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $200 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $200 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $300 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $300 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $100 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $100 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $400 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $400 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $500 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $500 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $1 trillion
- If government spending increases by at least $1000 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least $750 billion
- If government spending increases by at least $750 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
