KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least $1 billion 95%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3805,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
5.3 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
21. Feb. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Apr. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026?
KalshiHow much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
KalshiWill Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
If government spending increases by the named outcome above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:FRED
- Each quarter during Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 is compared against the Q4 2025 baseline.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 691.801,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Government spending increase in 2026?
- Kalshi bewertet At least $1 billion mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Government spending increase in 2026 entschieden?
- Government spending increase in 2026 soll am 1. April 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Government spending increase in 2026 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If government spending increases by the named outcome above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.