KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Abwicklungsnachweis
- Aktuelles Ergebnis
- KXFRONTIER-FRON-26JUL01:no
- Erfasst
- 27.07.2026, 21:26
- Beobachtungen
- 1
- Revisionen
- 0
- Methode
- resolution_watch
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore September 99%+66.0ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
14.875 €
Liquidität
38.774,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert gestern
Veraltet29. Juni 26, 19:001. Sept. 26, 14:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Before November99%
Before December99%
Before July2%
Before August99%
Before September99%
Before October99%
Before 202799%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Volumentrend
$16.9k2. Juli26T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
9428,3 €Before December: 84%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of July?
69.630,3 €Anthropic: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
14.742,4 €August 31: 88%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
10.944,2 €Ja: 89%KALSHI
KALSHIWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
9634,8 €Anthropic: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6172,8 €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, additional AI models subsequently solving the same problem will not count.
- If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.