Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Hungary 3%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
818,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.7% / 2.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
26. Feb. 25, 15:001. Jan. 30, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Italy1%
Volumentrend
$0.003. Juli4T Daten24. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
1760,5 €Ja: 93.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Reform UK polling collapse in 2026?
115,1 €Ja: 53.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026?
67,4 €Ja: 40%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
0 €Ja: 21%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
0 €Ja: 35%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
0 €Ja: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Italy holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If France holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Hungary holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Greece holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.