KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
No one · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
No one 45.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
No one 45.5%Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
5,2 €
Open Interest
392,9 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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No oneSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
24. Aug. 26, 14:00 UTC1. März 28, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · No one
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will the DSA endorse at the start of the 2028 Democratic primaries?
Manifold MarketsWho will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
KalshiWill NYC DSA endorse Mamdani's re-election?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump ever publicly endorse another presidential candidate?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will Richard Hanania finally endorse in the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRegeln
If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Democratic Socialists of America
- An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the candidate's election in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries, made after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2028. The statement must be public (not private communications) and must specifically reference that race or be clearly in context of it. The endorsement must come directly from DSA or through its official channels. The following scenarios would resolve to YES: DSA states that it endorses the candidate for president DSA states that it supports the candidate, with clear reference to the race DSA releases an official endorsement through its national channels DSA allows its name or logo to be used in the candidate's campaign materials Positive comments without explicit support, or policy endorsements without a candidate endorsement, do not qualify. Ranking a candidate anything other than first in a ranked-choice process does not qualify, and publication of poll or ranked-choice results, whether national or chapter-level, is not itself an endorsement; only the resulting decision of the national organization qualifies. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Statements of obvious sarcasm, or which are immediately followed by clarifications that DSA is joking, are not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Only the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization satisfies the Payout Criterion, acting through its national governing bodies or processes and announced through DSA's national channels. Qualifying decisions include a resolution or vote of the DSA National Convention, a decision of the National Political Committee, and a binding vote of the national membership. An endorsement, chapter poll result, or statement of support from a local or state DSA chapter, caucus, or working group does not qualify unless the national organization adopts it. A statement that a candidate has or will have DSA's endorsement qualifies if the only condition attached is that the candidate enter or remain in the race. A statement conditioned on anything else, such as winning a primary or adopting a policy position, does not. The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement. If DSA endorses more than one listed candidate, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves Yes at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01, and all non-endorsed named-candidate strikes resolve No. If no qualifying endorsement occurs before Mar 1, 2028, the "No one" strike resolves Yes and every named-candidate strike resolves No. An endorsement of a candidate who is not listed resolves every market No. If a candidate withdraws from, suspends their campaign for, ceases to be a candidate in, declines to enter, or loses the primary or general election for the race before a qualifying endorsement of that candidate is confirmed, their strike may resolve to No in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- No one
- If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rashida Tlaib
- If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Rashida Tlaib in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ro Khanna
- If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Ro Khanna in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Shawn Fain
- If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bernie Sanders
- If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Bernie Sanders in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
