KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before December 1, 2026 16%-37.0ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
65 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
107,2 €
Liquidität
123.634,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
22. Aug. 26, 21:00 UTC1. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsCuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+9.5pt81.2%
- Yes-9.5pt18.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1 Mio. €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt49.5%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt33.7%
- R-House, R-Senate-2.0pt14.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
- Gavin Newsom12%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 188,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.823,2 €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-4.0pt62%
- Nithya Raman+4.0pt38%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 643.686,2 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.2pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.1pt13%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Texas Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced??
- Kalshi bewertet Before December 1, 2026 mit 16% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? entschieden?
- Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? soll am 1. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.