KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 30.10.2026, 19:17 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before November 1, 2026 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
Before November 1, 2026 4.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Before November 1, 2026 4.5%Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1044 €
Open Interest
116.781,9 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before November 1, 2026Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert22. Aug. 26, 21:00 UTC1. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Before October 1, 2026Verloren
Before September 1, 2026Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before November 1, 2026
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsCuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBloomberg NewsNBC
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation. Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba. For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before November 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before December 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.