KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2028 90%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2028 90%Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
153,2 €
Open Interest
3926,4 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
5. Okt. 26, 21:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2028
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
PolymarketWill Gov. Hochul sign New York's data center moratorium (S10642/A11560) into law by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Gov. Hochul sign New York's data center moratorium (S10642/A11560) into law by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one U.S. state enact a binding statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026?
PolymarketWill the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If legislation that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits, suspends, or pauses the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within the enacting state has become law in any U.S. state before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCThe InformationMSNBCCBSthe Associated PressThe Washington PostAxiosCNNThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsThe New York TimesNBCSemaforPoliticoBloomberg NewsReutersthe Federal RegisterWhite HouseUnited States Congress
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges. Only legislation enacted by a state legislature after Issuance qualifies. Executive orders, agency, utility-commission or permitting decisions, citizen-initiated ballot measures, and local ordinances do not qualify. A law that only limits tax incentives, sets electricity rates or cost allocation, sets siting standards, or orders a study does not qualify. A moratorium limited to a defined category of new data centers, such as those above a power-demand threshold, qualifies.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If legislation that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits, suspends, or pauses the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within the enacting state has become law in any U.S. state before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If legislation that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits, suspends, or pauses the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within the enacting state has become law in any U.S. state before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If legislation that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits, suspends, or pauses the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within the enacting state has become law in any U.S. state before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.