KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore 2027 5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
28,7 €
Liquidität
538,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
7. Juli 26, 21:001. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before 20275%
Volumentrend
$337. Juli4T Daten11. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
35.173,2 €Ja: 6%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
23.518,2 €Ja: 4%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha
7661,2 €Match Winner: 66%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
2844,3 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
1642,5 €Ja: 99%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Trace Esports vs. TYLOO
1601,2 €TYLOO: 63%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If People's Republic of China agrees to or announces the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments