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  3. Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?

Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsCrime & Justice6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 29%-1.0%
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0,7 €

Liquidität

23 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

23.0% / 29.0%

Spread

26.1%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

7. Jan. 26, 15:001. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before Jan 1, 202729%

Regeln

If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
  • If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
  • Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
  • If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
  • Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges.