KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Magnitude of at least 6.0 (96%)
Entschieden: 31.10.2026, 23:15
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Magnitude of at least 6.0
7 Tage vorher
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24 Stunden vorher
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Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.11.2026, 09:35 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Magnitude of at least 6.096%
Magnitude of at least 5.499%
Magnitude of at least 5.629%
Magnitude of at least 5.846%
Magnitude of at least 6.21%
Magnitude of at least 5.273%
Magnitude of at least 6.41%
Magnitude of at least 6.610%
Magnitude of at least 6.814%
Magnitude of at least 7.010%
Magnitude of at least 5.4Verloren
Magnitude of at least 5.6Verloren
Magnitude of at least 5.2Verloren
Magnitude of at least 5.8Verloren
Magnitude of at least 6.0Gewonnen
Magnitude of at least 6.8Verloren
Magnitude of at least 6.6Verloren
Magnitude of at least 7.0Verloren
Magnitude of at least 6.2Verloren
Magnitude of at least 6.4Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will the biggest earthquake be on November 1, 2026?
PolymarketWhat will the biggest earthquake be on November 2, 2026?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by November 30?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiRegeln
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 31, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 31, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 31, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 31, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 31, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 31, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 31, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 31, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 31, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 31, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 31, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.