KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Magnitude of at least 5.6 29%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
238,7 €
Liquidität
187,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
7. Sept. 26, 20:00 UTC8. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
Kalshi9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiRegeln
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS.
- If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count.
- If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
- 32°C+69.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 28°C-0.3pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 154.560,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 148.633,4 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-7.0pt59%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 92.301 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 8?
- 19°C+54.0pt98%
- 20°C-31.0pt2%
- 16°C or below-0.2pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above63.8%
- 88° to 89°19.1%
- 86° to 87°13.3%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 84.100,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 79.268,4 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
- 25°C+94.5pt100%
- 19°C or below-3.0pt0%
- 20°C-6.0pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
- 29°C+70.5pt100%
- 26°C or below-8.4pt0%
- 27°C-10.4pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Magnitude of at least 5.6 mit 29% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026? entschieden?
- What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026? soll am 8. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.