PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: 6.5+
Entschieden: 04.10.2026, 08:48
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
6.5+
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
—
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 04.10.2026, 08:51 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
9.0+0%
7.5+0%
6.5+100%
7.0+0%
6.5+Gewonnen
7.0+Verloren
7.5+Verloren
8.0+Verloren
8.5+Verloren
9.0+Verloren
Regeln
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and September 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
- A qualifying earthquake must be listed by USGS with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title and listed as occurring within the specified timeframe.
- Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
- If an earthquake with an origin time within this market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after September 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after September 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude and timestamp of the event in question.
- If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point.
