KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 58%
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
0,9 €
Liquidität
7809,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
42.0% / 46.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
18. März 25, 14:00 UTC1. Apr. 28, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be elected U.S. president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the New York 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 58% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? entschieden?
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? soll am 1. April 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.