How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffWahl12Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
38 or more 99%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
31 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
3,4 €
Liquidität
5897,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
9. Juli 26, 18:50 UTC6. Sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Landeswahlausschuss Sachsen-Anhalt
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election??
- Kalshi bewertet 38 or more mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? entschieden?
- How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? soll am 6. September 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.