KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitFrank Mrvan 90.9%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
10.227,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
85.0% / 90.6%
Spread
5.6 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
1. Juli 25, 21:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Frank Mrvan90%
Plattformen vergleichen· Frank Mrvan
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 82% | — | 0 € | 22.231,2 € | vor 26 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 90% | — | 0 € | 10.227,9 € | vor 26 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
IN-01 House Election Winner
0.5 pts3Mon
85.4%
-0.5pt14.6%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen2269,3 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$7503. Juli10T Daten22. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
1 Mio. €Kamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
537.649,3 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
478.764,7 €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
307.538,5 €Gadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
181.505,3 €Jay Collins: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
132.401,2 €Haley Stevens: 35%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.