KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitFrank Mrvan 90.9%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
10.229 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
85.0% / 90.6%
Spread
5.6 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
1. Juli 25, 21:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Frank Mrvan90%
Plattformen vergleichen· Frank Mrvan
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 82% | — | 0 € | 22.588,1 € | vor 9 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 90% | — | 0 € | 10.229 € | vor 9 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
IN-01 House Election Winner
0.5 pts3Mon
85.4%
-0.5pt14.6%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen2269,5 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$7503. Juli10T Daten22. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
999.459,8 €Kamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
184.801 €Jay Collins: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
52.078,9 €Larry Rhoden: 96%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
15.065,2 €Byron Donalds: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
9512,8 €Loranne Ausley: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
IL-11 House Election Winner
8922,6 €Democratic Party: 95%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.